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Computational and Statistical Political Economy Research

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Working backwards from a 5-Year Plan's end goal to make the targets for each intermediate year?

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Joseph
 Joseph
(@joe)
Estimable Member

In my free time for the past few days I've been rewriting the NewHarmony planning program from Julia to R (this has been taking me quite some time since i've also been using it as a way to teach myself linear algebra).

I got to the part where it takes in the estimated labor pool for the future as well as the annual target final consumption for each product and I felt that a core part of "planning" was missing: optimizing over the 5 year period.

If the targets for all goods are set each year manually, then there is some part of the plan that is still done manually. Is there a way to set a goal 5 years into the future and produce, using the information from the IO table and capital depreciation table and capital stock table, the targets for intermediate years?

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Topic starter Posted : 12/11/2022 12:57 pm
Topic Tags
planning new harmony 5 year plan
Tomas Härdin
 Tomas Härdin
(@thardin)
Estimable Member

You can achieve this by having the amount of goods at year N by equal to the goods at year N-1 + new goods produced - goods used up or depreciated and then setting a constraint that good X should be >= some amount at N=5. Hagberg and Zachariah's rhp project that was posted on here can do this I think. Certainly it carries output from one year into the next one.

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Posted : 12/11/2022 6:53 pm
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Topic Tags:  planning (7) , new harmony (1) , 5 year plan (2) ,
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